Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000328 0.000368 0.000411 0.000461 0.000518 0.000581 0.000656
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000259 0.000316 0.000385 0.000472 0.000581 0.000714 0.000888
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000215 0.000281 0.000363 0.000477 0.000630 0.000830 0.001115
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000177 0.000242 0.000329 0.000456 0.000636 0.000888 0.001270
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000156 0.000223 0.000316 0.000458 0.000672 0.000987 0.001493
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000145 0.000214 0.000316 0.000478 0.000734 0.001129 0.001801
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000128 0.000196 0.000298 0.000468 0.000747 0.001197 0.002000
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000111 0.000175 0.000275 0.000445 0.000735 0.001222 0.002128
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000103 0.000167 0.000269 0.000450 0.000770 0.001329 0.002414
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000099 0.000164 0.000273 0.000472 0.000836 0.001496 0.002836
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000154 0.000262 0.000466 0.000851 0.001574 0.003098
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000148 0.000257 0.000469 0.000883 0.001687 0.003447
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000138 0.000246 0.000461 0.000894 0.001764 0.003744
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000132 0.000242 0.000467 0.000934 0.001906 0.004211
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000127 0.000238 0.000471 0.000970 0.002047 0.004701
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000116 0.000222 0.000450 0.000951 0.002064 0.004902
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000112 0.000218 0.000452 0.000983 0.002199 0.005421
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000111 0.000222 0.000472 0.001057 0.002443 0.006266
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000104 0.000212 0.000462 0.001060 0.002518 0.006674
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000096 0.000198 0.000439 0.001029 0.002506 0.006839
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000093 0.000196 0.000444 0.001068 0.002675 0.007561
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000093 0.000200 0.000465 0.001151 0.002973 0.008731
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000089 0.000194 0.000460 0.001163 0.003081 0.009340